Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019311 0.020831 0.022414 0.024186 0.026115 0.028154 0.030474
2025-11-02 0.016798 0.018980 0.021371 0.024191 0.027433 0.031050 0.035403
2025-11-09 0.014888 0.017404 0.020266 0.023774 0.027975 0.032859 0.038997
2025-11-16 0.013455 0.016162 0.019337 0.023354 0.028324 0.034303 0.042090
2025-11-23 0.012480 0.015346 0.018795 0.023279 0.028990 0.036069 0.045583
2025-11-30 0.011620 0.014584 0.018234 0.023093 0.029443 0.037525 0.048701
2025-12-07 0.010913 0.013950 0.017770 0.022968 0.029920 0.038989 0.051860
2025-12-14 0.010270 0.013350 0.017298 0.022778 0.030266 0.040257 0.054786
2025-12-21 0.009794 0.012934 0.017031 0.022826 0.030909 0.041927 0.058328
2025-12-28 0.009303 0.012465 0.016658 0.022695 0.031276 0.043209 0.061365
2026-01-04 0.008894 0.012083 0.016377 0.022662 0.031760 0.044659 0.064701
2026-01-11 0.008559 0.011780 0.016185 0.022735 0.032385 0.046322 0.068427
2026-01-18 0.008188 0.011426 0.015921 0.022718 0.032917 0.047940 0.072287
2026-01-25 0.007839 0.011085 0.015661 0.022694 0.033440 0.049577 0.076298
2026-02-01 0.007410 0.010606 0.015174 0.022302 0.033372 0.050296 0.078883
2026-02-08 0.007016 0.010158 0.014708 0.021909 0.033273 0.050945 0.081372
2026-02-15 0.006739 0.009870 0.014463 0.021840 0.033667 0.052380 0.085234
2026-02-22 0.006455 0.009557 0.014165 0.021666 0.033877 0.053519 0.088651
2026-03-01 0.006205 0.009284 0.013914 0.021550 0.034166 0.054791 0.092364
2026-03-08 0.005957 0.009003 0.013635 0.021372 0.034339 0.055869 0.095789
2026-03-15 0.005776 0.008818 0.013498 0.021417 0.034880 0.057590 0.100465
2026-03-22 0.005569 0.008583 0.013269 0.021295 0.035126 0.058808 0.104288
2026-03-29 0.005394 0.008391 0.013101 0.021265 0.035523 0.060304 0.108715